In the current landscape of slow growth, declining living standards and the blame game, few will raise their eyes above the contemporary to contemplate life in five or ten years. For one faction of the transhumanist community, the events during this timescale will bring forth evidence of how close the technological Singularity will be. The evidence will also enhance our understanding of its potential underpinnings.
Rick Searle sets out an interesting scenario in his discussion of the Singularity: that the event could be triggered more than once by a multiplicity of technologies. The path of the event will be determined by the successful research program. Where Searle departs from the overwhelming concept of the Singularity is his reduction of event by country and culture. This subordination of the event to human seedcorn is a critical attempt to grapple with the ideology of its proponents, not the prophecy itself.
Any event will be structured by its context. Yet, arguments of different Singularities in different countries does not work. Part of the beauty of the Singularity is its overwhelming, universal threshold: beyond which we cannot see, in the original Vingean. That is probably why I am unsure as to the reasoning for AGI as the basis: my preference is the increasing pace of change based upon the effective use of information.
Life will get faster!